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SGF4Aston Villa - Arsenal
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: Villa Park preview
Arsenal make the trip to Villa Park on Monday evening with three points already on the board. Villa, by contrast, are yet to register a point after losing their opening fixture 4-0.
The gap in the numbers
The table tells most of the story before kick-off. Arsenal sit ninth with three points from one match, having won 3-0 in a recent match. Villa are down in seventeenth with zero points from their single outing, after losing 4-0 in a recent match. Recent form carries the same message: Villa have won one and lost four of their last five matches, while Arsenal have won two, drawn one and lost two of theirs.
The head-to-head record is more mixed. The last five meetings produced 16 goals in total, and Villa have won two of those encounters, losing two and drawing one. The most recent fixture ended 4-1 to Arsenal, but Villa won 2-1 before that. Arsenal's summer business included Arsenal win the race for Bartishvili, though the opening-day evidence suggests they already have enough to trouble a Villa side that shipped four in their first outing.
What the market expects
The market-implied probability has Arsenal as clear favourites at 63.4 per cent, with Villa given just 14.8 per cent and the draw at 21.8 per cent. That lines up with the early-season numbers: Arsenal won a recent match by three clear goals, Villa lost one by four. A win here would take Arsenal to six points from two matches; Villa would move to three points from two with victory, though on current evidence that looks the longest route of the three available outcomes.
We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.
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