Bournemouth host Sturm Graz looking to build early cushion

Where they stand

Bournemouth's three points from the opening round leave them level with five other sides, separated only by goal difference. A win here would take them to six points from two matches. Sturm Graz took a point from their opener and sit in the lower half of the standings; victory at the Vitality would lift them to four points from two.

The market implies an 82.8 per cent chance of a home win, against 6.0 per cent for the visitors. That spread reflects both the home advantage and the gap in recent form: Bournemouth have won two of their last five matches, drawn one and lost two, while Sturm Graz have won three, drawn one and lost one.

What the numbers suggest

Bournemouth have won two of their last five matches, drawn one and lost two. Sturm Graz have won three of their last five matches, drawn one and lost one.

Neither side has played the other in the fixtures recorded. With Bournemouth starting the evening in the top ten and Sturm Graz in the bottom half, the gap in the table would widen sharply with a home win, or narrow to two points if the Austrians take all three.

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