India host Brazil in Kolkata

Recent form points one way

Brazil have won three of their last five matches, drawn one and lost one. That run includes a 4-2 win over Australia in their most recent outing and a 2-1 win over Japan before that. India have won one of their last five, drawn one and lost three. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw with Panama, following defeats to Zimbabwe and Jamaica.

What the numbers say

The market-implied probability gives Brazil a 94 per cent chance of victory, India 1.5 per cent and the draw 4.5 per cent. That gap reflects the difference in recent results and the wider gulf in resources. Brazil's squad featured in Martinelli: Brazil's World Cup hero earlier this year. Saturday's match offers India a rare chance to test themselves against opposition of this standard, though the numbers suggest the result is unlikely to be in doubt.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.