Manchester City host AEK Athens in Champions League

Where they stand

City won four of their last five recent matches, AEK Athens three. City's sequence includes a 2-4 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, though they followed that with a 3-2 win over Ipswich Town. AEK Athens lost 3-1 to Shakhtar Donetsk in their most recent match, having won three and drawn one of their previous four matches.

A win would lift either team to six points from three games. A draw would leave both on four points, a defeat would keep the loser on three. Paris Saint-Germain, Barcelona and Aston Villa occupy the top three places, each on six points from two games.

What the market sees

The pre-match probability model gives City an 84.1 per cent chance of taking all three points, with the draw at 10.6 per cent and an AEK Athens victory at 5.3 per cent. That assessment reflects both the venue and the gap in resources, though the visitors arrive with recent form that includes three wins from five and only one defeat in that span. City have won their last two matches and Manchester City v Ipswich Town: Premier League preview covered the most recent of those. The fixture kicks off at 22:00 on Tuesday.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.