Newcastle United - Aston Villa
Newcastle host Villa looking to steady mid-table drift
Newcastle United host Aston Villa at St. James' Park on Saturday evening with both sides occupying mid-table positions. Newcastle sit eleventh on eight points from six played, five places and three points above Villa.
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Recent form points in opposite directions
Newcastle have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five recent matches, the most recent a 1-4 defeat to Coventry that Coventry host Newcastle looking to build on first win detailed. Villa have won four and drawn one of their last five, the latest a 6-0 victory over Fenerbahce that followed Aston Villa host Fenerbahce looking to maintain perfect start. The contrast in momentum is sharp.
A win would take Newcastle to eleven points from seven played, a draw to nine points, a defeat leaving them on eight. Villa would reach eight points from seven with a win, six with a draw, or remain on five with a defeat. The market-implied probabilities give Newcastle a 41.6 per cent chance of winning, Villa 32.5 per cent, and a draw 25.9 per cent.
Meetings have been tight and high-scoring
The five head-to-head meetings above contain fourteen goals in total. Newcastle won 3-1 in the most recent, lost 0-2 before that, then drew 0-0, lost 1-4 and won 3-0 in the oldest fixture listed. Newcastle have won two, drawn one and lost two of those five. The sides have traded results without establishing a pattern, though the goal count suggests Saturday's fixture will not be settled by a single moment.
We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.
Will Newcastle's home advantage overcome Villa's superior recent form?
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