Brentford v Liverpool: fourth meets ninth in west London

Recent form tilts home

Brentford have lost none of their last five recent matches, winning two and drawing three. That run includes a 3-0 victory over Chelsea and a 2-2 draw with Aston Villa last time out. Liverpool have won three of their last five but the sequence is uneven: victories over Tottenham, Bournemouth and Las Palmas bracket a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City and a goalless draw with Fulham. A win would lift Brentford to thirteen points from seven; Liverpool would reach twelve from seven with three points.

What the market sees

The market-implied probability gives Brentford a 39.9 per cent chance of victory, Liverpool 34.2 per cent and the draw 25.9 per cent. That spread reflects Brentford's home advantage and recent steadiness more than it does the gap in the table. The five most recent meetings between the sides produced sixteen goals in total, though Brentford have won only one of those five, drawing one and losing three. Flagside reported recently that Liverpool's two big signings still aren't firing, a detail that may explain why the market rates the visitors' chances only narrowly above even money despite their historical edge in this fixture.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.