Lille host Galatasaray in search of first Champions League points

Two sides looking up the table

Lille's campaign opened with Arsenal's seven-minute Lille demolition, and the run has not improved since. They have won two of their last five recent matches, drawn one and lost two, but those results span all competitions and the continental form tells a narrower story. A win on Wednesday would lift them to three points from three matches; anything less leaves them on one point at best.

Galatasaray arrive in identical circumstances. They have also won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five across all competitions, and they too lost heavily in their most recent European outing, going down 4-1 to Barcelona. Like Lille, a victory here would take them to three points from three matches, while a draw would leave them with one.

What the market sees

The pre-match probabilities give Lille a 43.4 per cent chance of taking all three points, against 30.8 per cent for a Galatasaray win and 25.8 per cent for a draw. That edge reflects home advantage more than recent form: the two sides have identical records both in terms of points taken and results across their last five matches. With six teams already on six points or better after three games, and Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool both on nine, neither side can afford to wait much longer to open their account.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.