Andorra host Malta in Nations League opener

Recent form points to narrow contest

Andorra's recent run shows one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. The victory came against LIE, a 2-0 result in June, while the draw was a goalless affair with SMR in March. Malta's record over the same span is one win and four defeats, the win a 2-0 result against AZE in June that followed four straight losses.

The four meetings between these sides have produced five goals in total. The most recent encounter in November 2024 finished goalless, as did the October 2020 fixture. Malta won 1-0 in September 2024 and 3-1 in November 2020, leaving the head-to-head at two wins for Malta and two draws.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability has Malta as slight favourites at 39.5 per cent, with Andorra at 26.1 per cent and the draw at 34.4 per cent. That assessment leans toward the away side despite home advantage for Andorra, though the gap between all three outcomes is narrow enough to suggest uncertainty. The recent meetings and the form both point to a tight match, which aligns with the market's view that no single result stands out as overwhelmingly likely.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.