Bayern Munich open Champions League campaign against Bodo/Glimt

Form and expectations

Bayern's recent run shows four wins and a goalless draw, the latter ending a sequence in which they scored fifteen times across four matches. Bodo/Glimt have won all five of their recent fixtures, including victories over NEC Nijmegen in Bodo/Glimt host NEC Nijmegen in Champions League Qualifying. A win for either side would put them on three points from one match; a draw would leave both on one.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives Bayern an 87.5 per cent chance of winning, with the draw at 8.0 per cent and a Bodo/Glimt victory at 4.5 per cent. That assessment sits comfortably with the home advantage and recent results: Bayern have dropped two points in their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt none, but the market sees a wide gap in quality. The probability leaves little room for an upset, though the visitors' unbeaten run suggests they will not arrive simply to make up the numbers.

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