Crystal Palace v Newcastle United: Premier League preview

Form and recent meetings

Crystal Palace have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five recent matches, including a 5-0 defeat to Brighton last time out. Newcastle have won two and lost three of their last five, and Newcastle won't sack Jaissle, for now despite that inconsistent run.

The five most recent meetings between these sides have produced 14 goals. Palace won the last encounter 2-1 in April, but lost 2-0 in January and lost 5-0 in April 2025. The pattern is volatile rather than one-sided.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives Newcastle a 40.2 per cent chance of winning, with Palace at 33.2 per cent and the draw at 26.6 per cent. That makes the visitors clear favourites despite their own poor run, and the gap is wider than the league positions suggest it ought to be, Newcastle are three places and one point better off, but the market treats them as considerably stronger. Whether that reflects Palace's heavy recent defeat or Newcastle's underlying numbers rather than results is the tension here. A win would take Palace to ten points from eight matches; Newcastle would reach eleven from eight with three points.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.