Gibraltar host Andorra in Nations League clash

Head-to-head record favours Gibraltar

Gibraltar have won two and drawn one of the three meetings between these sides, the most recent a 1-0 victory in September 2024. Those three encounters have produced two goals in total, and the pattern has been tight: before the two 1-0 wins came a goalless draw in June 2021. The hosts' recent run shows two wins, one draw and two losses from their last five matches, with both victories coming in June. Andorra's last five recent results show one win, one draw and three losses, the sole victory a 2-0 result against Liechtenstein in early June.

Market sees Andorra as narrow favourites

The market-implied probabilities have Andorra as slight favourites at 39.3 per cent, with the draw at 34.2 per cent and a Gibraltar win at 26.4 per cent. That preference for the visitors sits against Gibraltar's clean record in head-to-head meetings, where they are unbeaten. The gap between the three outcomes is narrow enough that the market sees all three as plausible, with less than thirteen percentage points separating the favourite from the outsider. Gibraltar's home advantage and their record against Andorra pull one way; the visitors' status as marginal favourites suggests the market is weighing recent form more heavily than past meetings.

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