Lille v Real Betis: Champions League opener

Form heading in

Lille arrive unbeaten in their last five recent matches, with three wins and two draws. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 win against TOU, and they also took a point from a 2-2 draw with PSG. Real Betis have won three of their last five, losing the other two. The defeats were a 0-1 reverse against INT and a 2-5 loss to LEV, but they bounced back with a 1-0 win over RMA in their most recent fixture.

What the market expects

The market-implied probabilities give Lille a 42.7 per cent chance of winning, with the draw at 27.8 per cent and a Real Betis victory at 29.5 per cent. That splits the difference between the two sides fairly narrowly, with the home advantage pushing Lille marginally ahead. The gap between a home win and an away win is thirteen percentage points, enough to register a preference, but not enough to call either outcome unlikely. A win here would take either side to three points from one match; a draw leaves both on one point from one.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.