Lithuania host Azerbaijan in Nations League clash

Recent form points opposite ways

Lithuania have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five recent matches, most recently beating Liechtenstein 2-0. Azerbaijan arrive with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five, with their most recent victory coming against Tajikistan. The two previous meetings between these sides produced one goal in total, the sides met in March 2008, with Lithuania winning 1-0, and the pair drew 0-0 in March 2019.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives Lithuania a 39.3 per cent chance of victory, with the draw at 31.3 per cent and an Azerbaijan win at 29.3 per cent. That narrow spread reflects two sides whose recent records suggest little between them., tight enough that the numbers align with what the form shows.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.