Brighton host Crystal Palace with perfect run on the line

Form and the table

Brighton have won all five recent matches, the latest a 4-0 win over Zalgiris on 15 October. Before that came a 2-0 win over Sunderland, a 3-0 win over Arsenal, a 3-2 win over Manchester and a 5-0 win over Coventry. A win here would take them to 16 points from seven games; a draw to 14 from seven.

Crystal Palace's recent run is mixed: a 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest on 11 October, then a 2-3 defeat to Lyon on 15 October. Before that came a 0-2 defeat to BRC, a 0-0 draw with Leeds and a 4-0 win over Lech Poznań. A win would lift them to 10 points from seven; a draw to eight from seven.

Head to head and what the market expects

The last five meetings produced 13 goals. Brighton won one, drew one and lost three, most recently a 0-1 defeat on 8 February. Before that came a 0-0 draw, a 1-2 defeat, a 1-3 defeat and a 4-1 win.

The market-implied probability has Brighton at 63.7 per cent, the draw at 20.3 per cent and Crystal Palace at 15.9 per cent. That lines up with the recent form: Brighton unbeaten in five, Palace with two defeats in the last five and ten fewer points from the same number of games. The head-to-head record is closer, but the market reads the present run, and the present run is not close at all.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.