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Everton - Manchester United, Premier League

Everton - Manchester United

Everton host Manchester United as form lines diverge

Everton welcome Manchester United to the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday afternoon with four points from two played and three wins from their last five matches across all competitions. United arrive on three points from two, having won one, drawn two and lost two in their last five.

By Sam Carrick· Premier League·Published ·1 MIN READ

Recent business and early rhythm

Everton's summer included Grealish completes Everton return as Villa miss out, and the opening weeks have brought three wins and two draws in five matches. United's recent run showed two defeats before a 5–2 win over Ipswich last time out, the kind of result that either resets a campaign or flatters against weak opposition, Sunday will help settle which.

The five meetings before this one produced 14 goals, two of them ending level, two won by United and one by Everton. United won the most recent encounter 1–0, Everton the one before that by the same margin. Neither side has established domestic dominance in this fixture, and neither arrives with momentum so clear that the table gap, ten versus twelve, Everton one point ahead, means much at all.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives United a 45.3 per cent chance, Everton 29.3 and the draw 25.4. That makes the visitors clear favourites despite the narrower recent record, and it sits at odds with the shape of the last five results: Everton have won three of those, United only one. The market is pricing something the form line does not show, whether that is squad depth, fixture context or an expectation that one heavy win outweighs two defeats is the question the 90 minutes will answer.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.

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Everton welcome Manchester United to the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday afternoon with four points from two played and three wins from their last five matches across all competitions.

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