Liverpool host Tottenham in Carabao Cup at Anfield

Recent form points different ways

Liverpool have lost none of their last five matches, winning two and drawing three. The most recent was a goalless draw against Fulham. Tottenham have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, bookending a pair of goalless draws against Everton and Nottingham Forest with defeats to Brentford and Newcastle.

The head-to-head record leans heavily toward the home side. Liverpool have won three of the last five meetings, drawn one and lost one. Those five matches produced sixteen goals in total. The last time Tottenham won was in January 2025, when they took the fixture 1-0.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability has Liverpool winning at fifty-six per cent, a draw at twenty-three per cent and a Tottenham win at just under twenty-one per cent. That assessment sits comfortably with the recent record: Liverpool unbeaten in five, Tottenham with two defeats in the same span, and a head-to-head sequence that has gone the home side's way more often than not. The market sees this as Liverpool's to lose, and the form gives it little reason to think otherwise.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.