Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth: Old Trafford stalemate

Recent form cuts both ways

United have not won in their last five matches, taking three draws and two defeats. Bournemouth have won three of their last five, losing the other two, and arrive having beaten Sunderland 2-0 last time out. A win for the hosts would lift them to ten points from eight matches; a win for Bournemouth would take them to nine from eight, within a point of United.

High-scoring history

The last five meetings have produced twenty-two goals, including a 4-4 draw and a 4-1 United win among three draws and one Bournemouth victory. None of those meetings ended 0-0 or 1-0. United have not kept a clean sheet in any of them.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives United a 47.4 per cent chance of winning, with the draw at 26.0 per cent and a Bournemouth win at 26.7 per cent. That makes the visitors fractionally more likely to win than to draw, despite sitting lower in the table and playing away. The numbers suggest the market sees United's winless run and Bournemouth's three wins in five as roughly cancelling out home advantage.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.