Queens Park Rangers v Cardiff City: Championship preview

Recent form points different ways

QPR have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five recent matches, the most recent a 2-1 win. Cardiff have won one, drawn three and lost one, their last two both finishing 2-2. A win here would lift the hosts to ten points from four games; Cardiff would move to six from four with three points, or four with one.

The gap in the table is fourteen places, though both sides have played the same number of league fixtures. QPR's goal difference of plus-three matches Wolves'; Cardiff sit on level terms. Cardiff lock down their promotion keeper was confirmed in the summer, one of several moves as the club adjusted after promotion.

Head-to-head meetings have been tight

The last five meetings between these two produced eight goals in total. Two finished 0-0, QPR won two and Cardiff won one. The most recent, in April 2025, was goalless; before that QPR won 2-0 in November 2024. None of the five saw more than two goals for either side.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability has QPR to win at 49.8 per cent, the draw at 24.1 per cent and Cardiff at 26.1 per cent. That makes the hosts narrow favourites, though not by the margin the table gap might suggest. The recent form split, QPR with two wins in five, Cardiff with one, aligns with that assessment: an edge to the home side, but a draw well within range given how many of Cardiff's recent matches have ended level.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.