West Brom v Charlton: top two separated by three points

Recent form points opposite ways

West Brom have won three and lost two of their last five recent matches, the defeats coming in their last two outings. Charlton have won four of their last five, including a 1-0 victory over Preston on 29 August that restored momentum after a heavy defeat four days earlier. The five head-to-head meetings between these sides produced 12 goals, with three draws, one West Brom win and one Charlton win.

Market expectation and table position

The market-implied probability has West Brom as favourites at 53.9 per cent despite sitting six places and three points below their opponents. Charlton are given a 20.7 per cent chance, with the draw at 25.4 per cent. That assessment runs against the table, where Charlton have nine points from three matches and West Brom have six points from three played. A defeat leaves Charlton on nine points from four played; a win takes West Brom to nine from four, erasing the gap entirely.

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