Chelsea v Tottenham: hosts target fifth straight win

Form points one way

Chelsea have thirteen points from seven games and sit fourth, one place and three points behind Brighton. Their last five recent results show three wins, one draw and one defeat, the defeat a 3-0 loss to Brentford sandwiched between a 6-3 win and a 5-1 win. Since then they have taken six points from two matches, beating Everton 2-0 last time out.

Tottenham have six points from seven and sit sixteenth, four points above the bottom three. Their last five recent matches produced one win, two draws and two losses. The win came against Coventry; before that they drew with Manchester and lost to Aston Villa and Liverpool, and their September fixture against Everton finished goalless.

Recent history and what the market sees

The five meetings above contain fourteen goals and five Chelsea wins. The most recent finished 2-1; the four before it were 1-0, 1-0, 4-3 and 2-0, all in Chelsea's favour.

The market-implied probability has Chelsea to win at 56.5 per cent, a draw at 22.2 per cent and a Tottenham win at 21.2 per cent. A win here would take Chelsea to sixteen points from eight; Tottenham would move to nine from eight. A defeat leaves Tottenham on six points from eight, still in the bottom half and still without momentum to point at.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.