FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven: both hunting first points

Form points opposite ways

Porto's Champions League position sits oddly against their recent run: three wins from their last five matches, including victories in three of their last four. PSV have lost three of their last five, including defeats in each of their last three outings. The contrast is sharp enough to notice.

The only previous meeting between these sides came in July 2016, when PSV won 3-0. That single fixture produced three goals in total, though neither the venue nor the competition is recorded.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives Porto a 61.5 per cent chance of winning, against 18.2 per cent for PSV and 20.3 per cent for a draw. That confidence sits comfortably with Porto's home advantage and their better recent form, though it also reflects how little either side has done in the competition so far. A Porto win would lift them to three points from three matches; PSV would reach four points with victory, or two with a draw. The numbers and the form align: the hosts are clear favourites, and their recent results support it.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.