Roma host Slovan Bratislava seeking first Champions League win

Where they stand

Roma drew one and lost one in their opening two matches. Slovan have lost both their opening matches, conceding nine goals across those two games. Recent form offers Roma some encouragement: they have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five matches, including a 2-0 victory in their most recent match. Slovan's last five show two wins, one draw and two defeats, though.

A win would lift Roma to four points from three matches. Slovan would reach three points with victory, though that outcome sits at the far edge of what the market considers plausible. A draw would leave Roma on two points and Slovan on one.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability has Roma winning at 82.8 per cent, with the draw at 11.2 per cent and a Slovan victory at 6.0 per cent. That spread reflects both the gap in the table and the recent results: Slovan's eight-goal deficit has come in just two matches, and Roma are at home. The two sides met twice in 2011, producing three goals across both fixtures and one win for Slovan and one draw, though those meetings offer limited guidance for a contest thirteen years later between teams in very different circumstances.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.