AS Roma - Real Madrid
Roma host Real Madrid with both sides chasing early momentum
AS Roma face Real Madrid at the Olimpico on Wednesday evening in their second fixture of the Champions League group phase. Roma sit 22nd with a point from their opening match, while Madrid are six places higher with three points from one game.
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The table
The new league format places both clubs outside the early top six after a single round. Barcelona, Sporting CP and Arsenal share the summit on six points from two matches, while Bayern Munich sit fourth with four from two. Roma drew their opener and a win here would lift them to four points from two games; Madrid won theirs and victory would take them to six from two, level with the current leaders.
The market assigns Real Madrid a 48.9 per cent chance of winning, against 26.9 per cent for Roma and 24.2 per cent for the draw. That spread reflects recent form: Madrid have won four of their last five matches, losing once, while Roma have drawn three of their last five and won the other two. The visitors have not drawn any of their last five.
Recent meetings
The five matches on record produced 14 goals and favour Madrid heavily. Roma have lost four and drawn one, the most recent a 2-2 result in August 2019. The previous four meetings all ended in Madrid victories, including a 3-0 margin in September 2018 and a 2-0 finish eight months earlier. The pattern is consistent enough that the market probability, favouring Madrid by nearly two to one, aligns with what the head-to-head record suggests.
We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.
Will Roma get the win they need to climb into the top six?
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