Sabah FK - Borussia Dortmund
Sabah FK host Borussia Dortmund in Champions League
Sabah FK and Borussia Dortmund meet at the Baku Olympic Stadium on Tuesday evening, both locked on three points from two matches in the Champions League. The hosts sit 22nd in the table, four places below their visitors, separated only by goal difference.
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Form points opposite ways
Sabah won three of their last five recent matches, including a 2-0 victory over Slavia Prague that Sabah FK host Slavia Prague in search of first points had previewed. Dortmund took two wins from their last five, drew two and lost one, the defeat coming against Bodo/Glimt in a match Flagside covered as Bodo/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in Champions League. Their most recent outing ended 0-0.
A win would lift either side to six points from three matches. A draw would take both to four points; defeat leaves the loser on three. Six sides already hold six points from two games, all sitting on positive goal differences of four or better, with Paris Saint-Germain, Barcelona and Aston Villa sharing the lead on plus-seven.
What the market expects
The market-implied probability has Dortmund winning at 73.6 per cent, the draw at 15.9 per cent and a Sabah victory at 10.6 per cent. That expectation sits some distance from the recent-results column: Sabah have won more often than Dortmund across the last five matches, yet the market sees this as heavily one-sided. The disagreement is the sharpest thing in the numbers.
We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.
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