West Ham United - Fulham
West Ham United v Fulham: Carabao Cup at London Stadium
West Ham United host Fulham at the London Stadium on Tuesday night in a Carabao Cup tie that brings together two sides in sharply different form. The Hammers have won four of their last five matches, while Fulham arrive having lost three of theirs.
Recent meetings and current trajectories
The five most recent encounters between these two have produced eleven goals, with West Ham winning twice, Fulham twice and one drawn. The most recent meeting, in March, finished 1-0 to West Ham, while December's fixture went the other way by the same margin. That narrow pattern has not held across the whole sequence: the January 2025 meeting finished 3-2 to West Ham, and Fulham won 2-0 in April 2024.
The form lines point in opposite directions. West Ham's four wins from five recent matches include a 6-0 victory over Wrexham, a result reported in West Ham United v Wrexham: second hosts fourteenth, and a 4-2 win over Wolves. Fulham, by contrast, have managed one win and a draw from their last five, the draw coming in a goalless meeting with Liverpool at Anfield last week, covered in Liverpool host winless Fulham at Anfield.
What the market expects
The market-implied probabilities give Fulham a 42 per cent chance of winning, ahead of West Ham's 31.3 per cent and a draw at 26.8 per cent. That assessment runs against both the home advantage and the recent form: West Ham have won four of five, Fulham have lost three of five, yet the visitors are favoured. The disagreement is sharp enough to be the fixture's central question, whether Fulham's underlying profile, whatever the market is reading, can override what the results say.
We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.
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