West Ham United v Wrexham: second hosts fourteenth

West Ham's momentum

West Ham have won four of their last five recent matches, including three in succession. The latest was a 3-2 win over Bolton on 8 September, following a 3-0 victory against Derby and a 4-2 result against Wolves. That run has them on 11 points from six games, with a goal difference of plus-five, the best among the four clubs level on points behind West Brom.

A win on Friday would take them to 14 points from seven, while a draw would leave them on 12., though lineups have not yet been announced.

Wrexham's steadier rhythm

Wrexham have won one, drawn three and lost one of their last five. The win was a 3-0 result against Millwall on 2 September; the draws came against Watford, Swansea and Burnley, the last two scoreless. A win here would lift them to 10 points from seven games, while a draw would take them to eight.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives West Ham a 60.9 per cent chance of winning, against 17.4 per cent for Wrexham and 21.7 per cent for a draw. That aligns with the form: West Ham have won four of five and sit 12 places higher, while Wrexham have drawn three and won one. The probability gap is narrower than the table position suggests, Wrexham are four points back, not marooned, but the direction is consistent with what the recent results show.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.