West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers: second hosts sixth

Recent form points different ways

West Ham have won three of their last five recent matches, lost one and drawn one. The run includes a 6-0 win over Wrexham and a 3-2 victory over Bolton, but also a 3-2 defeat to Fulham and a 2-2 draw with Millwall last time out. QPR's last five tell a different story: one win, three draws and one defeat. They have drawn 2-2 with Preston most recently, and before that drew 1-1 with West Brom and 0-0 in a recent match. The single win in that sequence came 2-1 on 2 September.

A win would take West Ham to 18 points from nine matches. QPR would reach 16 points from nine with three points here, which would close the gap to two. A draw leaves West Ham on 16 and QPR on 14.

What the market expects

The market-implied probability gives West Ham a 60.8 per cent chance of winning, against 17.9 per cent for QPR and 21.3 per cent for a draw. That expectation sits comfortably with the table positions and the goal difference, West Ham's is plus-eleven, QPR's plus-three, but recent form makes it less straightforward. West Ham have won more in their last five, but QPR have lost fewer. The five head-to-head meetings above contain ten goals in total. West Ham won three of them, drew two and lost none, most recently won 2-1 on 11 January.

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.